Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000585 0.000673 0.000767 0.000874 0.000992 0.001119 0.001264
2025-04-20 0.000462 0.000585 0.000726 0.000899 0.001101 0.001330 0.001607
2025-04-27 0.000391 0.000531 0.000698 0.000910 0.001170 0.001475 0.001856
2025-05-04 0.000329 0.000475 0.000658 0.000900 0.001207 0.001577 0.002053
2025-05-11 0.000278 0.000425 0.000618 0.000883 0.001228 0.001656 0.002219
2025-05-18 0.000247 0.000399 0.000605 0.000895 0.001284 0.001777 0.002438
2025-05-25 0.000219 0.000372 0.000586 0.000897 0.001324 0.001877 0.002631
2025-06-01 0.000186 0.000333 0.000548 0.000869 0.001321 0.001919 0.002748
2025-06-08 0.000158 0.000300 0.000514 0.000843 0.001318 0.001957 0.002860
2025-06-15 0.000141 0.000280 0.000497 0.000840 0.001345 0.002037 0.003028
2025-06-22 0.000125 0.000262 0.000482 0.000838 0.001373 0.002116 0.003195
2025-06-29 0.000110 0.000242 0.000462 0.000827 0.001386 0.002175 0.003335
2025-07-06 0.000095 0.000221 0.000439 0.000810 0.001389 0.002221 0.003460
2025-07-13 0.000088 0.000215 0.000439 0.000829 0.001448 0.002347 0.003700
2025-07-20 0.000081 0.000207 0.000435 0.000841 0.001495 0.002458 0.003920
2025-07-27 0.000071 0.000192 0.000419 0.000831 0.001508 0.002517 0.004068
2025-08-03 0.000062 0.000176 0.000399 0.000815 0.001509 0.002560 0.004191
2025-08-10 0.000057 0.000170 0.000397 0.000826 0.001555 0.002669 0.004413
2025-08-17 0.000052 0.000161 0.000389 0.000828 0.001585 0.002754 0.004601
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000146 0.000366 0.000802 0.001567 0.002765 0.004680
2025-08-31 0.000037 0.000132 0.000345 0.000777 0.001550 0.002778 0.004760
2025-09-07 0.000033 0.000125 0.000336 0.000775 0.001571 0.002848 0.004927
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000118 0.000328 0.000773 0.001592 0.002919 0.005097